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Quantification of Logistics Capabilities – YR2 UA04-AFRL5

This project uses statistical analysis to relate personnel experience and a process.


Air Force Research Laboratory

Research Team:

Heather L. Machtmann, Justin R. Chimka, David Rieske, Manuel D. Rossetti, Alex Andelman

Universities Involved:

University of Arkansas

Start Date:


End Date:



The purpose of this project is to use statistical analysis to investigate how the personnel experience factor is affecting mission capability, and develop a metric and standard to relate personnel experience to MC rate
The AF desires a measurement system that assigns value to logistics capabilities based upon each capability’s contribution to the success of operational AF combat success. Eventual development of this system will provide AF logistics leaders with a method of communicating logistics requirements to combat leaders who have little background in logistics and focus solely on operational capability. The developed system will serve as common language to allow more accurate portrayal of any desired logistical system, so that the acquisition of logistics tools and aids can compete more equally with weapon acquisition. We propose to lay the groundwork for this system through the development of an algorithm/business rules based on value focused thinking. This project will describe the current state of value focused thinking as it can be applied to quantify military logistics capability into measures of operational effectiveness. A value focused thinking approach can improve communication among parties concerned about a decision such as acquisition prioritization, facilitate involvement of multiple stakeholders, and coordinate interconnected decisions. The objectives associated with operational AF combat success will be delineated in a hierarchical structure down to measurable attributes which will fully define each objective, and the value tradeoff among the various objectives will be quantified. The relative importance of each attribute will be assigned, hence assigning value to AF logistics capabilities in regards to operational combat success. This project will result in a report detailing the requirements and potential solutions for an AF-wide accepted standard algorithm/business rules that will define measurable units of any core logistics function and then translate each measurable unit into a unit of measurement that accurately portrays the contribution of that logistics functionality in terms of operational effectiveness.